162/168, 3.95(T50 Liberal arts). International. Moderate softs. TA, Research Assistant, and one important leadership role. some other extracurricular. Good LORs.
If you ED, it lessens your chance of getting a scholarship because they know that you’re bound to go there at sticker. So no, EDing will not increase your chances of a scholarship and it will most likely hurt them.
That being said, I’d honestly be surprised if you didn’t get in ED. Just be prepared to pay full price.
You are right that hes not likely to get much money with his numbers and with ED.
BUT, you are wrong that he only has a 50/50 shot. The following is the LSP result for his numbers w/o ED.
I would say your being overly pessimistic. More like 75/25.
OP; use law school predictor to look at your general chances and law school numbers to look at more specific results.